Automated baseline from FEMA and NOAA data, release 2026-10.

Travis County, TX

Risk-assessment baseline packet. County FIPS 48453. Release 2026-10, data as of 2026-09-30.

Summary

Plan status as of 2026-09-30: Approved, expires 2028-10-31. Plan: Travis County (FEMA plan 109258), approved 2023-11-01.

Since the plan was approved on 2023-11-01: 1 new hazard declaration (1 incident) and 124 NOAA Storm Events records; details under "What changed since your last plan".

Highest expected annual loss (FEMA National Risk Index, modeled total; see B1-a): Inland Flooding ($214,189,302 a year), Tornado ($95,874,012) and Hail ($24,958,396).

The packet's tables are organized by the items of FEMA's Local Mitigation Plan Review Tool, Element B (B1-a to B2-c); the summaries below follow the same order.

Download the packet

Full packet as a web page. File manifest (checksums, source versions).

Plan clock

Approved, expires 2028-10-31

Plan:
Travis County (FEMA plan 109258)
Approved:
2023-11-01
Days to expiry:
762

What changed since your last plan (approved 2023-11-01)

New federal declarations:
1 new hazard declaration (1 incident): DR-4879-TX (Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, and Flooding)
Storm Events records since approval:
124 records (data through 2026-06-30)
Repetitive loss now:
FMA RL 172, SRL 94 (44 CFR 77.2); any definition: 487
Repeat-flood change:
this release sets the baseline count.

Plan status for every jurisdiction listed in this county

26 jurisdictions. Each row is that jurisdiction's own plan clock. Notes include other approved plans FEMA lists for the same jurisdiction.

JurisdictionTypeStatusPlanApprovedExpiresDays to expirynegative = days since expiryUpdate underwayNotes
Travis CountyCountyApproved, expires 2028-10-31Travis County (FEMA plan 109258)2023-11-012028-10-31762this jurisdiction approved 2024-01-30
Austin cityCityExpired on 2026-09-14Austin (FEMA plan 107004)2021-09-152026-09-14-16FEMA tracker shows a plan approvable pending adoptionNot yet eligible: adopt the approved plan.
Briarcliff villageVillageApproved, expires 2028-10-31Travis County (FEMA plan 109258)2023-11-012028-10-31762this jurisdiction approved 2024-01-30
Creedmoor cityCityApproved, expires 2028-10-31Travis County (FEMA plan 109258)2023-11-012028-10-31762this jurisdiction approved 2024-01-30
Jonestown cityCityApproved, expires 2028-10-31Travis County (FEMA plan 109258)2023-11-012028-10-31762this jurisdiction approved 2024-01-30
Lago Vista cityCityApproved, expires 2028-10-31Travis County (FEMA plan 109258)2023-11-012028-10-31762this jurisdiction approved 2024-01-30
Lakeway cityCityApproved, expires 2028-10-31Travis County (FEMA plan 109258)2023-11-012028-10-31762this jurisdiction approved 2024-01-30
Leander cityCityApproved, expires 2029-10-06Leander (FEMA plan 109309)2024-10-072029-10-061,102
Manor cityCityApproved, expires 2028-10-31Travis County (FEMA plan 109258)2023-11-012028-10-31762this jurisdiction approved 2023-12-20
Mustang Ridge cityCityApproved, expires 2028-10-31Travis County (FEMA plan 109258)2023-11-012028-10-31762this jurisdiction approved 2024-02-08
Pflugerville cityCityApproved, expires 2028-10-31Travis County (FEMA plan 109258)2023-11-012028-10-31762this jurisdiction approved 2024-01-30
Point Venture villageVillageApproved, expires 2028-10-31Travis County (FEMA plan 109258)2023-11-012028-10-31762this jurisdiction approved 2024-02-08
Rollingwood cityCityApproved, expires 2028-10-31Travis County (FEMA plan 109258)2023-11-012028-10-31762this jurisdiction approved 2024-01-30
Round Rock cityCityApproved, expires 2030-07-01Round Rock (FEMA plan 110304)2025-07-022030-07-011,370
San Leanna villageVillageApproved, expires 2028-10-31Travis County (FEMA plan 109258)2023-11-012028-10-31762this jurisdiction approved 2024-01-30
Sunset Valley cityCityApproved, expires 2028-10-31Travis County (FEMA plan 109258)2023-11-012028-10-31762this jurisdiction approved 2024-01-30
The Hills villageVillageApproved, expires 2028-10-31Travis County (FEMA plan 109258)2023-11-012028-10-31762this jurisdiction approved 2024-01-30
West Lake Hills cityCityApproved, expires 2028-10-31Travis County (FEMA plan 109258)2023-11-012028-10-31762
Dripping Springs Independent School DistrictSchool/School DistrictApproved, expires 2030-10-06Hays County (FEMA plan 110433)2025-10-072030-10-061,467this jurisdiction approved 2026-02-13
Elgin Independent School DistrictSchool/School DistrictApproved, expires 2027-10-30Bastrop County (FEMA plan 107546)2022-10-312027-10-30395
Hays Consolidated Independent School DistrictSchool/School DistrictApproved, expires 2030-10-06Hays County (FEMA plan 110433)2025-10-072030-10-061,467
Hutto Independent School DistrictSchool/School DistrictApproved, expires 2030-06-03Williamson County (FEMA plan 109592)2025-06-042030-06-031,342
Johnson City Independent School DistrictSchool/School DistrictApproved, expires 2030-01-15Blanco County (FEMA plan 109553)2025-01-162030-01-151,203this jurisdiction approved 2025-04-16
Leander Independent School DistrictSchool/School DistrictPlan 109309 approved 2024-10-07, pending adoption here; not yet eligibleLeander (FEMA plan 109309), pending adoption here2024-10-07 by FEMA; not yet adopted here2029-10-06 once adoptedFEMA tracker shows a plan approvable pending adoptionNot yet eligible: adopt the approved plan.
Canyon Regional Water Authority (CRWA)Water/Sewer AuthorityExpired on 2024-05-07Canyon Regional Water Authority (FEMA plan 105666)2019-05-082024-05-07-876
Emergency Services District #6Community Services DistrictApproved, expires 2028-10-31Travis County (FEMA plan 109258)2023-11-012028-10-31762this jurisdiction approved 2024-01-30

State plan status and tribal plans in this state: see the state page.

What the packet contains

Sections in FEMA checklist order; each heading names the review item its tables support. Full tables are in the downloads above.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-a Hazard identification

14 of the 18 National Risk Index hazards apply here.

Not applicable to this county per NRI, with no federal declaration and no Storm Events record since 1996: avalanche, coastal flooding, tsunami and volcanic activity. That is the evidence for leaving them out of the plan.

Highest expected annual loss (NRI, modeled): Inland Flooding, Tornado and Hail.

Not covered by NRI (local data needed): dam failure (incl. upstream dams); levee failure; flash flood as its own subtype; ice jams; debris flows; erosion (riverine and coastal); land subsidence and sinkholes; expansive soils.

The state hazard mitigation plan also lists hazards for this county; FEMA asks the plan to explain any hazard it leaves out.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-b Hazard location

  • Cold Wave, Drought, Hail, Heat Wave, Ice Storm, Lightning, Strong Wind and Winter Weather: affects the whole county; national data give no location within it.
  • Earthquake, Hurricane, Landslide, Tornado and Wildfire vary within the county; the packet lists the highest-rated census tracts for each.
  • Inland Flooding: the FEMA Flood Insurance Rate Map (FIRM) is the required location source for flooding. See the FEMA Flood Map Service Center (https://msc.fema.gov) for this county.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-c Hazard extent

Storm Events records for 11 of the 20 NOAA event-type groups mapped to the 18 hazards, with the scale, observed range and worst recorded event for each; the others say which local data are needed.

Worst recorded tornado, hail and thunderstorm wind (the three event types on record since the 1950s; the packet has every group):

  • Hail: 4 in hail, 2008-05-14
  • Thunderstorm Wind: 75 kt (86 mph), measurement type not recorded, Thunderstorm Wind, 1978-05-02
  • Tornado: F4 tornado, 1997-05-27, 5.6 mi within this county, 440 yd wide, $15,000,000 property; $0 crops (1997 dollars), 1 direct death, 5 direct injuries

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-d Previous occurrences

Federal declarations for this area: 37 declarations covering 27 separate hazard incidents counted in this packet; each with type, dates and county Public Assistance dollars.

New since the last plan (approved 2023-11-01): DR-4879-TX.

10 statewide declarations listed separately.

Hazards with no Storm Events record and no federal declaration are stated as such (6 of 18).

Storm Events history: 1,354 records (notable ones in the PDF, all of them in the Excel file).

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-e Probability of future events

FEMA annualized frequency (modeled) for each hazard, with a descriptor from a scale defined in the packet.

  • Highly likely: Hail, Inland Flooding, Lightning and Strong Wind
  • Likely: Cold Wave, Drought, Heat Wave, Landslide, Tornado and Winter Weather
  • Possible: Hurricane and Wildfire

Historical frequency by intensity band (tornado, hail, wind): 9 bands from Storm Events.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-f Hazards that vary across jurisdictions

Range of census tract risk scores within the area for 14 of the 18 hazards (290 tracts; rated tracts only).

18 jurisdictions: plan clock, repeat-flood count, Public Assistance dollars and event records naming the place (starting figures from federal data).

County Public Assistance in B1-d also includes applicants filed under the county that are not jurisdictions in this plan (for example state agencies, special districts and nonprofits), so the jurisdiction rows add up to less.

Supports FEMA checklist items B2-a and B2-b Vulnerability and potential impacts

The packet's table gives county-level starting figures; the plan describes impacts for each jurisdiction and its own assets.

Storm Events damage since 2023-11-01: $10,033,500 in county-coded records (90 records); $0 reported for the zone (34 zone records). Data through 2026-06-30; nominal dollars.

Local data needed

To gather:

  • Critical facilities and lifelines per hazard
  • A problem statement per jurisdiction per hazard
  • Changes in development in hazard-prone areas since the last approval, or a statement of none (E1-a)
  • Future assets
  • Texas A&M Forest Service TxWRAP for wildfire risk; Texas State Hazard Mitigation Plan hazard list for B1-a exclusions.

Supports FEMA checklist item B2-a Vulnerability (county context)

Population 1,285,769; building value $212,768,077,221 and agriculture value $36,195,371 (total, not at risk).

National Risk Index rating Relatively High; social vulnerability Very Low; community resilience Relatively High.

Supports FEMA checklist item B2-c Repetitive loss properties

Repetitive-loss properties, FMA definition (44 CFR 77.2): 172 repetitive loss, 94 severe repetitive loss. NFIP insurance definition: 431 and 69.

Mitigated 14; insured 110; NFIP data as of 2026-08-02. Counts by occupancy group and for each jurisdiction are in the packet.

Releases

Each release is dated; this is release 2026-10. It was first published 2026-09-30; its files do not change. Later releases will be listed here with what changed between them. All releases.

Cite this

Hazard Plain (2026). Travis County, TX: risk-assessment baseline packet, release 2026-10 (data as of 2026-09-30; County FIPS 48453). Automated baseline. https://hazardplain.org/tx/48453/ Built from FEMA OpenFEMA, the FEMA National Risk Index and NOAA NCEI Storm Events; source versions in the packet's Sources list.

Source citations for the plan's bibliography (8)

How this packet is built: methods and sources