Automated baseline from FEMA and NOAA data, release 2026-10.

Stoddard County, MO

Risk-assessment baseline packet. County FIPS 29207. Release 2026-10, data as of 2026-09-30.

Summary

Plan status as of 2026-09-30: Approved, expires 2028-11-29. Plan: Stoddard County (FEMA plan 109327), approved 2023-11-30.

Since the plan was approved on 2023-11-30: 3 new hazard declarations (3 incidents) and 74 NOAA Storm Events records; details under "What changed since your last plan".

Highest expected annual loss (FEMA National Risk Index, modeled total; see B1-a): Earthquake ($14,485,087 a year), Inland Flooding ($4,480,848) and Tornado ($2,761,948).

The packet's tables are organized by the items of FEMA's Local Mitigation Plan Review Tool, Element B (B1-a to B2-c); the summaries below follow the same order.

Download the packet

Full packet as a web page. File manifest (checksums, source versions).

Plan clock

Approved, expires 2028-11-29

Plan:
Stoddard County (FEMA plan 109327)
Approved:
2023-11-30
Days to expiry:
791

What changed since your last plan (approved 2023-11-30)

New federal declarations:
3 new hazard declarations (3 incidents): DR-4803-MO (Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and Flooding), DR-4867-MO (Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and Wildfires), DR-4872-MO (Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and Flooding)
Storm Events records since approval:
74 records (data through 2026-06-30)
Repetitive loss now:
FMA RL 0, SRL 0 (44 CFR 77.2); any definition: 11
Repeat-flood change:
this release sets the baseline count.

Plan status for every jurisdiction listed in this county

17 jurisdictions. Each row is that jurisdiction's own plan clock.

JurisdictionTypeStatusPlanApprovedExpiresDays to expirynegative = days since expiry
Stoddard County (unincorporated area)UnincorporatedApproved, expires 2028-11-29Stoddard County (FEMA plan 109327)2023-11-302028-11-29791
Advance cityCityApproved, expires 2028-11-29Stoddard County (FEMA plan 109327)2023-11-302028-11-29791
Bell City cityCityApproved, expires 2028-11-29Stoddard County (FEMA plan 109327)2023-11-302028-11-29791
Bernie cityCityApproved, expires 2028-11-29Stoddard County (FEMA plan 109327)2023-11-302028-11-29791
Bloomfield cityCityApproved, expires 2028-11-29Stoddard County (FEMA plan 109327)2023-11-302028-11-29791
Dexter cityCityApproved, expires 2028-11-29Stoddard County (FEMA plan 109327)2023-11-302028-11-29791
Dudley cityCityApproved, expires 2028-11-29Stoddard County (FEMA plan 109327)2023-11-302028-11-29791
Essex cityCityApproved, expires 2028-11-29Stoddard County (FEMA plan 109327)2023-11-302028-11-29791
Puxico cityCityApproved, expires 2028-11-29Stoddard County (FEMA plan 109327)2023-11-302028-11-29791
Advance R-IV School DistrictSchool/School DistrictApproved, expires 2028-11-29Stoddard County (FEMA plan 109327)2023-11-302028-11-29791
Bell City R-II School DistrictSchool/School DistrictApproved, expires 2028-11-29Stoddard County (FEMA plan 109327)2023-11-302028-11-29791
Bernie R-XIII School DistrictSchool/School DistrictApproved, expires 2028-11-29Stoddard County (FEMA plan 109327)2023-11-302028-11-29791
Bloomfield R-XIV School DistrictSchool/School DistrictApproved, expires 2028-11-29Stoddard County (FEMA plan 109327)2023-11-302028-11-29791
Dexter R-XI School DistrictSchool/School DistrictApproved, expires 2028-11-29Stoddard County (FEMA plan 109327)2023-11-302028-11-29791
Puxico R-VIII School DistrictSchool/School DistrictApproved, expires 2028-11-29Stoddard County (FEMA plan 109327)2023-11-302028-11-29791
Richland R-I School DistrictSchool/School DistrictApproved, expires 2028-11-29Stoddard County (FEMA plan 109327)2023-11-302028-11-29791
Three Rivers Community CollegeCollege/UniversityApproved, expires 2028-11-29Stoddard County (FEMA plan 109327)2023-11-302028-11-29791

State plan status and tribal plans in this state: see the state page.

What the packet contains

Sections in FEMA checklist order; each heading names the review item its tables support. Full tables are in the downloads above.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-a Hazard identification

14 of the 18 National Risk Index hazards apply here.

Not applicable to this county per NRI, with no federal declaration and no Storm Events record since 1996: avalanche, coastal flooding, tsunami and volcanic activity. That is the evidence for leaving them out of the plan.

Highest expected annual loss (NRI, modeled): Earthquake, Inland Flooding and Tornado.

Not covered by NRI (local data needed): dam failure (incl. upstream dams); levee failure; flash flood as its own subtype; ice jams; debris flows; erosion (riverine and coastal); land subsidence and sinkholes; expansive soils.

The state hazard mitigation plan also lists hazards for this county; FEMA asks the plan to explain any hazard it leaves out.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-b Hazard location

  • Cold Wave, Drought, Hail, Heat Wave, Ice Storm, Lightning, Strong Wind and Winter Weather: affects the whole county; national data give no location within it.
  • Earthquake, Hurricane, Landslide, Tornado and Wildfire vary within the county; the packet lists the highest-rated census tracts for each.
  • Inland Flooding: the FEMA Flood Insurance Rate Map (FIRM) is the required location source for flooding. See the FEMA Flood Map Service Center (https://msc.fema.gov) for this county.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-c Hazard extent

Storm Events records for 13 of the 21 NOAA event-type groups mapped to the 18 hazards, with the scale, observed range and worst recorded event for each; the others say which local data are needed.

Worst recorded tornado, hail and thunderstorm wind (the three event types on record since the 1950s; the packet has every group):

  • Hail: 3.5 in hail, 1997-07-03
  • Thunderstorm Wind: 87 kt (100 mph) estimated gust, Thunderstorm Wind, 2024-05-26; same speed and measurement basis also recorded on 2019-05-21, 2020-05-03
  • Tornado: F3 tornado, 1976-02-21, 6.5 mi path length (whole path, pre-1996), 300 yd wide, damage not recorded (pre-1996 record), 3 direct injuries

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-d Previous occurrences

Federal declarations for this area: 26 declarations covering 21 separate hazard incidents counted in this packet; each with type, dates and county Public Assistance dollars.

New since the last plan (approved 2023-11-30): DR-4872-MO, DR-4867-MO and DR-4803-MO.

4 statewide declarations listed separately.

Hazards with no Storm Events record and no federal declaration are stated as such (6 of 18).

Storm Events history: 792 records (notable ones in the PDF, all of them in the Excel file).

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-e Probability of future events

FEMA annualized frequency (modeled) for each hazard, with a descriptor from a scale defined in the packet.

  • Highly likely: Hail, Heat Wave, Lightning, Strong Wind and Winter Weather
  • Likely: Cold Wave, Drought, Ice Storm, Inland Flooding, Landslide and Tornado
  • Possible: Earthquake and Hurricane
  • Unlikely: Wildfire

Historical frequency by intensity band (tornado, hail, wind): 9 bands from Storm Events.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-f Hazards that vary across jurisdictions

Range of census tract risk scores within the area for 14 of the 18 hazards (8 tracts; rated tracts only).

9 jurisdictions: plan clock, repeat-flood count, Public Assistance dollars and event records naming the place (starting figures from federal data).

County Public Assistance in B1-d also includes applicants filed under the county that are not matched to a jurisdiction row here (for example county offices and boards filed under their own names, such as a sheriff's office or a conservation board, and state agencies, special districts and nonprofits), so the jurisdiction rows add up to less.

Supports FEMA checklist items B2-a and B2-b Vulnerability and potential impacts

The packet's table gives county-level starting figures; the plan describes impacts for each jurisdiction and its own assets.

Storm Events damage since 2023-11-30: $1,687,000 in county-coded records (34 records); $34,000 reported for the zone (40 zone records). Data through 2026-06-30; nominal dollars.

Local data needed

To gather:

  • Critical facilities and lifelines per hazard
  • A problem statement per jurisdiction per hazard
  • Changes in development in hazard-prone areas since the last approval, or a statement of none (E1-a)
  • Future assets

Supports FEMA checklist item B2-a Vulnerability (county context)

Population 28,566; building value $6,651,986,715 and agriculture value $375,925,602 (total, not at risk).

National Risk Index rating Relatively Low; social vulnerability Relatively Moderate; community resilience Relatively Low.

Supports FEMA checklist item B2-c Repetitive loss properties

Repetitive-loss properties, FMA definition (44 CFR 77.2): 0 repetitive loss, 0 severe repetitive loss. NFIP insurance definition: 11 and 0.

Mitigated 0; insured 3; NFIP data as of 2026-08-02. Counts by occupancy group and for each jurisdiction are in the packet.

Releases

Each release is dated; this is release 2026-10. It was first published 2026-09-30; its files do not change except for dated corrections listed on the changelog (corrected 2026-10-01, 2026-10-02, 2026-10-03, 2026-10-13, 2026-10-17). Later releases will be listed here with what changed between them. All releases.

Cite this

Hazard Plain (2026). Stoddard County, MO: risk-assessment baseline packet, release 2026-10 (data as of 2026-09-30; County FIPS 29207). Automated baseline. https://hazardplain.org/mo/29207/ Built from FEMA OpenFEMA, the FEMA National Risk Index and NOAA NCEI Storm Events; source versions in the packet's Sources list.

Source citations for the plan's bibliography (11)

How this packet is built: methods and sources