Automated baseline from FEMA and NOAA data, release 2026-10.

Shannon County, MO

Risk-assessment baseline packet. County FIPS 29203. Release 2026-10, data as of 2026-09-30.

Summary

Plan status as of 2026-09-30: Approved, expires 2028-08-22. Plan: Shannon County (2023) (FEMA plan 109062), approved 2023-08-23.

Since the plan was approved on 2023-08-23: 4 new hazard declarations (4 incidents) and 69 NOAA Storm Events records; details under "What changed since your last plan".

Highest expected annual loss (FEMA National Risk Index, modeled total; see B1-a): Cold Wave ($5,372,001 a year), Inland Flooding ($3,648,057) and Earthquake ($779,299).

The packet's tables are organized by the items of FEMA's Local Mitigation Plan Review Tool, Element B (B1-a to B2-c); the summaries below follow the same order.

Download the packet

Full packet as a web page. File manifest (checksums, source versions).

Plan clock

Approved, expires 2028-08-22

Plan:
Shannon County (2023) (FEMA plan 109062)
Approved:
2023-08-23
Days to expiry:
692

What changed since your last plan (approved 2023-08-23)

New federal declarations:
4 new hazard declarations (4 incidents): DR-4803-MO (Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and Flooding), DR-4855-MO (Severe Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, and Flooding), DR-4867-MO (Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and Wildfires), DR-4872-MO (Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and Flooding)
Storm Events records since approval:
69 records (data through 2026-06-30)
Repetitive loss now:
FMA RL 0, SRL 0 (44 CFR 77.2); any definition: 4
Repeat-flood change:
this release sets the baseline count.

Plan status for every jurisdiction listed in this county

6 jurisdictions. Each row is that jurisdiction's own plan clock.

JurisdictionTypeStatusPlanApprovedExpiresDays to expirynegative = days since expiry
Shannon CountyCountyApproved, expires 2028-08-22Shannon County (2023) (FEMA plan 109062)2023-08-232028-08-22692
Birch Tree cityCityApproved, expires 2028-08-22Shannon County (2023) (FEMA plan 109062)2023-08-232028-08-22692
Eminence cityCityApproved, expires 2028-08-22Shannon County (2023) (FEMA plan 109062)2023-08-232028-08-22692
Winona cityCityApproved, expires 2028-08-22Shannon County (2023) (FEMA plan 109062)2023-08-232028-08-22692
Eminence R-I School DistrictSchool/School DistrictApproved, expires 2028-08-22Shannon County (2023) (FEMA plan 109062)2023-08-232028-08-22692
Winona R-III School DistrictSchool/School DistrictApproved, expires 2028-08-22Shannon County (2023) (FEMA plan 109062)2023-08-232028-08-22692

State plan status and tribal plans in this state: see the state page.

What the packet contains

Sections in FEMA checklist order; each heading names the review item its tables support. Full tables are in the downloads above.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-a Hazard identification

14 of the 18 National Risk Index hazards apply here.

Not applicable to this county per NRI, with no federal declaration and no Storm Events record since 1996: avalanche, coastal flooding, tsunami and volcanic activity. That is the evidence for leaving them out of the plan.

Highest expected annual loss (NRI, modeled): Cold Wave, Inland Flooding and Earthquake.

Not covered by NRI (local data needed): dam failure (incl. upstream dams); levee failure; flash flood as its own subtype; ice jams; debris flows; erosion (riverine and coastal); land subsidence and sinkholes; expansive soils.

The state hazard mitigation plan also lists hazards for this county; FEMA asks the plan to explain any hazard it leaves out.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-b Hazard location

  • Cold Wave, Drought, Hail, Heat Wave, Ice Storm, Lightning, Strong Wind and Winter Weather: affects the whole county; national data give no location within it.
  • Earthquake, Hurricane, Landslide, Tornado and Wildfire vary within the county; the packet lists the highest-rated census tracts for each.
  • Inland Flooding: the FEMA Flood Insurance Rate Map (FIRM) is the required location source for flooding. See the FEMA Flood Map Service Center (https://msc.fema.gov) for this county.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-c Hazard extent

Storm Events records for 12 of the 20 NOAA event-type groups mapped to the 18 hazards, with the scale, observed range and worst recorded event for each; the others say which local data are needed.

Worst recorded tornado, hail and thunderstorm wind (the three event types on record since the 1950s; the packet has every group):

  • Hail: 2.75 in hail, 2007-04-03
  • Thunderstorm Wind: 70 kt (81 mph) estimated gust, Thunderstorm Wind, 2009-05-08
  • Tornado: F3 tornado, 1984-10-18, 16 mi path length (whole path, pre-1996), 440 yd wide, $2,500,000 property; crops not recorded (1984 dollars), 1 direct death

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-d Previous occurrences

Federal declarations for this area: 27 declarations covering 22 separate hazard incidents counted in this packet; each with type, dates and county Public Assistance dollars.

New since the last plan (approved 2023-08-23): DR-4872-MO, DR-4867-MO, DR-4855-MO and DR-4803-MO.

4 statewide declarations listed separately.

Hazards with no Storm Events record and no federal declaration are stated as such (8 of 18).

Storm Events history: 571 records (notable ones in the PDF, all of them in the Excel file).

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-e Probability of future events

FEMA annualized frequency (modeled) for each hazard, with a descriptor from a scale defined in the packet.

  • Highly likely: Hail, Landslide, Lightning and Strong Wind
  • Likely: Cold Wave, Drought, Heat Wave, Ice Storm, Inland Flooding, Tornado and Winter Weather
  • Possible: Hurricane and Wildfire
  • Unlikely: Earthquake

Historical frequency by intensity band (tornado, hail, wind): 9 bands from Storm Events.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-f Hazards that vary across jurisdictions

Range of census tract risk scores within the area for 14 of the 18 hazards (2 tracts; rated tracts only).

4 jurisdictions: plan clock, repeat-flood count, Public Assistance dollars and event records naming the place (starting figures from federal data).

County Public Assistance in B1-d also includes applicants filed under the county that are not matched to a jurisdiction row here (for example county departments filed under their own names, such as a highway department or emergency management agency, and state agencies, special districts and nonprofits), so the jurisdiction rows add up to less.

Supports FEMA checklist items B2-a and B2-b Vulnerability and potential impacts

The packet's table gives county-level starting figures; the plan describes impacts for each jurisdiction and its own assets.

Storm Events damage since 2023-08-23: $9,235,500 in county-coded records (50 records); $11,000 reported for the zone (19 zone records). Data through 2026-06-30; nominal dollars.

Local data needed

To gather:

  • Critical facilities and lifelines per hazard
  • A problem statement per jurisdiction per hazard
  • Changes in development in hazard-prone areas since the last approval, or a statement of none (E1-a)
  • Future assets

Supports FEMA checklist item B2-a Vulnerability (county context)

Population 7,014; building value $1,811,114,961 and agriculture value $14,935,032 (total, not at risk).

National Risk Index rating Relatively Low; social vulnerability Very High; community resilience Very Low.

Supports FEMA checklist item B2-c Repetitive loss properties

Repetitive-loss properties, FMA definition (44 CFR 77.2): 0 repetitive loss, 0 severe repetitive loss. NFIP insurance definition: 4 and 0.

Mitigated 0; insured 0; NFIP data as of 2026-08-02. Counts by occupancy group and for each jurisdiction are in the packet.

Releases

Each release is dated; this is release 2026-10. It was first published 2026-09-30; its files do not change except for dated corrections listed on the changelog (corrected 2026-10-01). Later releases will be listed here with what changed between them. All releases.

Cite this

Hazard Plain (2026). Shannon County, MO: risk-assessment baseline packet, release 2026-10 (data as of 2026-09-30; County FIPS 29203). Automated baseline. https://hazardplain.org/mo/29203/ Built from FEMA OpenFEMA, the FEMA National Risk Index and NOAA NCEI Storm Events; source versions in the packet's Sources list.

Source citations for the plan's bibliography (8)

How this packet is built: methods and sources