Automated baseline from FEMA and NOAA data, release 2026-10.

Assumption Parish, LA

Risk-assessment baseline packet. County FIPS 22007. Release 2026-10, data as of 2026-09-30.

Summary

Plan status as of 2026-09-30: Approved, expires 2027-04-12. Plan: Assumption Parish (FEMA plan 107965), approved 2022-04-13.

Since the plan was approved on 2022-04-13: 3 new hazard declarations (2 incidents) and 45 NOAA Storm Events records; details under "What changed since your last plan".

Highest expected annual loss (FEMA National Risk Index, modeled total; see B1-a): Hurricane ($10,724,194 a year), Inland Flooding ($2,424,313) and Drought ($2,416,808).

The packet's tables are organized by the items of FEMA's Local Mitigation Plan Review Tool, Element B (B1-a to B2-c); the summaries below follow the same order.

Download the packet

Full packet as a web page. File manifest (checksums, source versions).

Plan clock

Approved, expires 2027-04-12

Plan:
Assumption Parish (FEMA plan 107965)
Approved:
2022-04-13
Days to expiry:
194
Update underway:
none recorded in FEMA's plan tracker

What changed since your last plan (approved 2022-04-13)

New federal declarations:
3 new hazard declarations (2 incidents): EM-3614-LA (Tropical Storm Francine), DR-4817-LA (Hurricane Francine), EM-3638-LA (Severe Winter Storm)
Storm Events records since approval:
45 records (data through 2026-06-30)
Repetitive loss now:
FMA RL 3, SRL 5 (44 CFR 77.2); any definition: 73
Repeat-flood change:
this release sets the baseline count.

Plan status for every jurisdiction listed in this county

2 jurisdictions. Each row is that jurisdiction's own plan clock.

JurisdictionTypeStatusPlanApprovedExpiresDays to expirynegative = days since expiry
Assumption ParishCountyApproved, expires 2027-04-12Assumption Parish (FEMA plan 107965)2022-04-132027-04-12194
Napoleonville villageVillageApproved, expires 2027-04-12Assumption Parish (FEMA plan 107965)2022-04-132027-04-12194

State plan status and tribal plans in this state: see the state page.

What the packet contains

Sections in FEMA checklist order; each heading names the review item its tables support. Full tables are in the downloads above.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-a Hazard identification

16 of the 18 National Risk Index hazards apply here.

Not applicable to this county per NRI, with no federal declaration and no Storm Events record since 1996: avalanche and volcanic activity. That is the evidence for leaving them out of the plan.

Highest expected annual loss (NRI, modeled): Hurricane, Inland Flooding and Drought.

Not covered by NRI (local data needed): dam failure (incl. upstream dams); levee failure; flash flood as its own subtype; ice jams; debris flows; erosion (riverine and coastal); land subsidence and sinkholes; expansive soils.

The state hazard mitigation plan also lists hazards for this county; FEMA asks the plan to explain any hazard it leaves out.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-b Hazard location

  • Coastal Flooding and Inland Flooding: the FEMA Flood Insurance Rate Map (FIRM) is the required location source for flooding. See the FEMA Flood Map Service Center (https://msc.fema.gov) for this county.
  • Cold Wave, Drought, Hail, Heat Wave, Ice Storm, Lightning, Strong Wind and Winter Weather: affects the whole county; national data give no location within it.
  • Earthquake, Hurricane, Landslide, Tornado, Tsunami and Wildfire vary within the county; the packet lists the highest-rated census tracts for each.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-c Hazard extent

Storm Events records for 13 of the 21 NOAA event-type groups mapped to the 18 hazards, with the scale, observed range and worst recorded event for each; the others say which local data are needed.

Worst recorded tornado, hail and thunderstorm wind (the three event types on record since the 1950s; the packet has every group):

  • Hail: 2 in hail, 2023-06-20
  • Thunderstorm Wind: 70 kt (81 mph) estimated gust, Thunderstorm Wind, 2013-05-22; same speed and measurement basis also recorded on 2003-11-27
  • Tornado: EF3 tornado, 2016-02-23, 7.78 mi within this county, 350 yd wide, property not reported; $0 crops (2016 dollars)

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-d Previous occurrences

Federal declarations for this area: 49 declarations covering 34 separate hazard incidents counted in this packet; each with type, dates and county Public Assistance dollars.

New since the last plan (approved 2022-04-13): EM-3638-LA, DR-4817-LA and EM-3614-LA.

6 statewide declarations listed separately.

Hazards with no Storm Events record and no federal declaration are stated as such (6 of 18).

Storm Events history: 148 records (notable ones in the PDF, all of them in the Excel file).

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-e Probability of future events

FEMA annualized frequency (modeled) for each hazard, with a descriptor from a scale defined in the packet.

  • Highly likely: Coastal Flooding, Hail and Lightning
  • Likely: Drought, Hurricane, Inland Flooding, Strong Wind, Tornado and Winter Weather
  • Possible: Cold Wave, Heat Wave and Landslide
  • Unlikely: Earthquake and Wildfire

Historical frequency by intensity band (tornado, hail, wind): 9 bands from Storm Events.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-f Hazards that vary across jurisdictions

Range of census tract risk scores within the area for 16 of the 18 hazards (7 tracts; rated tracts only).

2 jurisdictions: plan clock, repeat-flood count, Public Assistance dollars and event records naming the place (starting figures from federal data).

County Public Assistance in B1-d also includes applicants filed under the county that are not matched to a jurisdiction row here (for example county offices and boards filed under their own names, such as a sheriff's office or a conservation board, and state agencies, special districts and nonprofits), so the jurisdiction rows add up to less.

Supports FEMA checklist items B2-a and B2-b Vulnerability and potential impacts

The packet's table gives county-level starting figures; the plan describes impacts for each jurisdiction and its own assets.

Storm Events damage since 2022-04-13: $151,000 in county-coded records (8 records); $1,000,000 reported for the zone (37 zone records). Data through 2026-06-30; nominal dollars.

Local data needed

To gather:

  • Critical facilities and lifelines per hazard
  • A problem statement per jurisdiction per hazard
  • Changes in development in hazard-prone areas since the last approval, or a statement of none (E1-a)
  • Future assets

Supports FEMA checklist item B2-a Vulnerability (county context)

Population 21,017; building value $3,694,550,028 and agriculture value $58,730,725 (total, not at risk).

National Risk Index rating Relatively Low; social vulnerability Very High; community resilience Relatively Moderate.

Supports FEMA checklist item B2-c Repetitive loss properties

Repetitive-loss properties, FMA definition (44 CFR 77.2): 3 repetitive loss, 5 severe repetitive loss. NFIP insurance definition: 69 and 2.

Mitigated 3; insured 13; NFIP data as of 2026-08-02. Counts by occupancy group and for each jurisdiction are in the packet.

Releases

Each release is dated; this is release 2026-10. It was first published 2026-09-30; its files do not change except for dated corrections listed on the changelog (corrected 2026-10-01, 2026-10-02, 2026-10-03, 2026-10-13, 2026-10-17). Later releases will be listed here with what changed between them. All releases.

Cite this

Hazard Plain (2026). Assumption Parish, LA: risk-assessment baseline packet, release 2026-10 (data as of 2026-09-30; County FIPS 22007). Automated baseline. https://hazardplain.org/la/22007/ Built from FEMA OpenFEMA, the FEMA National Risk Index and NOAA NCEI Storm Events; source versions in the packet's Sources list.

Source citations for the plan's bibliography (11)

How this packet is built: methods and sources